Birmingham · days 1-14 from weather models · days 15-30 typical range (1991-2020)
🗺️ 14-day forecast map
Birmingham & nearby cities — press play
Real forecast data for every city shown, from the same weather models as the city pages, updated several times a day. Icons show each day’s overall weather; the figure is the daytime maximum.
Next 14 days at a glance
From the model forecast
Warmest day
24°
Mon 14 Sep
Coldest night
9°
Thu 24 Sep
Days with rain
3 / 14
of 14 forecast days
Best day out
Fri 25 Sep
mild, dry & light wind
The next 4 weekends
For planning ahead
Sat 19 – Sun 20 Sep
20° 10°
57% rain risk
Sat 26 – Sun 27 Sep
25° 11°
typical range
Sat 3 – Sun 4 Oct
17° 10°
typical range
Sat 10 – Sun 11 Oct
18° 9°
typical range
30 days — Birmingham
14 real + 16 synthesised
Sun · Today Showers
22°16°1.0 mm⌄
Wind9 mph SW
Gusts20 mph
UV index3 – Moderate
Chance of rain66%
Sunrise06:38
Sunset19:28
Mon · Tomorrow Sunny
24°16°0.3 mm⌄
Wind13 mph SW
Gusts27 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain36%
Sunrise06:40
Sunset19:25
Tuesday 15/9 Showers
19°13°1.2 mm⌄
Wind15 mph W
Gusts30 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain57%
Sunrise06:42
Sunset19:23
Wednesday 16/9 Cloudy
16°10°12%⌄
Wind12 mph NW
Gusts25 mph
UV index2 – Low
Chance of rain12%
Sunrise06:43
Sunset19:21
Thursday 17/9 Cloudy
16°12°0.3 mm⌄
Wind13 mph W
Gusts28 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain34%
Sunrise06:45
Sunset19:18
Friday 18/9 Cloudy
18°10°0.1 mm⌄
Wind14 mph SW
Gusts33 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain17%
Sunrise06:47
Sunset19:16
Saturday 19/9 Showers
20°13°1.4 mm⌄
Wind16 mph W
Gusts37 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain57%
Sunrise06:48
Sunset19:13
Sunday 20/9 Sunny
19°10°4%⌄
Wind11 mph W
Gusts22 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain4%
Sunrise06:50
Sunset19:11
Monday 21/9 Sunny
23°14°8%⌄
Wind12 mph SW
Gusts25 mph
UV index6 – High
Chance of rain8%
Sunrise06:52
Sunset19:09
Tuesday 22/9 Cloudy
16°11°10%⌄
Wind12 mph NW
Gusts25 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain10%
Sunrise06:53
Sunset19:06
Wednesday 23/9 Cloudy
16°9°12%⌄
Wind10 mph N
Gusts22 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain12%
Sunrise06:55
Sunset19:04
Thursday 24/9 Cloudy
18°9°8%⌄
Wind6 mph N
Gusts13 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain8%
Sunrise06:57
Sunset19:01
Friday 25/9 Sunny
20°11°2%⌄
Wind6 mph E
Gusts14 mph
UV index6 – High
Chance of rain2%
Sunrise06:58
Sunset18:59
Saturday 26/9 Sunny
20°11°5%⌄
Wind8 mph E
Gusts20 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain5%
Sunrise07:00
Sunset18:57
Sunday 27/9 Rain (climate average)
25°16°2.8 mm⌄
Day≈22–28°
Night≈13–19°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Monday 28/9 Sunny intervals (climate average)
25°15°20%⌄
Day≈22–28°
Night≈12–18°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Tuesday 29/9 Sunny intervals (climate average)
26°16°20%⌄
Day≈23–29°
Night≈13–19°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Wednesday 30/9 Rain (climate average)
25°16°2.9 mm⌄
Day≈22–28°
Night≈13–19°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Thursday 1/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
17°10°20%⌄
Day≈14–20°
Night≈7–13°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Friday 2/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
14°9°20%⌄
Day≈11–17°
Night≈6–12°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Saturday 3/10 Rain (climate average)
17°10°3.7 mm⌄
Day≈14–20°
Night≈7–13°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Sunday 4/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
16°10°20%⌄
Day≈13–19°
Night≈7–13°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Monday 5/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
19°12°20%⌄
Day≈16–22°
Night≈9–15°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Tuesday 6/10 Rain (climate average)
22°13°6.7 mm⌄
Day≈19–25°
Night≈10–16°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Wednesday 7/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
18°11°20%⌄
Day≈15–21°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Thursday 8/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
17°11°20%⌄
Day≈14–20°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Friday 9/10 Rain (climate average)
17°10°4.2 mm⌄
Day≈14–20°
Night≈7–13°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Saturday 10/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
15°9°20%⌄
Day≈12–18°
Night≈6–12°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Sunday 11/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
18°11°20%⌄
Day≈15–21°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Monday 12/10 Rain (climate average)
20°12°4.2 mm⌄
Day≈17–23°
Night≈9–15°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
How does the long-range forecast work?
Days 1-14 are a real forecast from weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on 1991-2020 climate averages — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.
Days 1-14: Fetched live from weather models (UKV, ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability ~85% for days 1-3, ~60% for days 7-10, ~45% for days 11-14.
Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (a chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the month’s average max/min from 1991-2020 climate data (London baseline with latitude correction for Birmingham), with mild weekly variation.
Use: "Roughly how warm is it usually in London in the last week of July?" — a good question for days 15-30. "Will it rain on 27 May?" — no serious forecast can say.
Forecasts from the UK Met Office UKV model, global weather models and official UK environmental data · Met Office UKV model · Environment Agency · Copernicus CAMS · NOAA