Manchester · days 1-14 from weather models · days 15-30 typical range (1991-2020)
🗺️ 14-day forecast map
Manchester & nearby cities — press play
Real forecast data for every city shown, from the same weather models as the city pages, updated several times a day. Icons show each day’s overall weather; the figure is the daytime maximum.
Next 14 days at a glance
From the model forecast
Warmest day
23°
Mon 14 Sep
Coldest night
10°
Thu 24 Sep
Days with rain
3 / 14
of 14 forecast days
Best day out
Sun 27 Sep
mild, dry & light wind
The next 4 weekends
For planning ahead
Sat 19 – Sun 20 Sep
18° 12°
42% rain risk
Sat 26 – Sun 27 Sep
21° 10°
3% rain risk
Sat 3 – Sun 4 Oct
16° 9°
typical range
Sat 10 – Sun 11 Oct
14° 8°
typical range
30 days — Manchester
14 real + 16 synthesised
Mon · Today Cloudy
23°16°0.3 mm⌄
Wind11 mph SW
Gusts21 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain32%
Sunrise06:41
Sunset19:28
Tue · Tomorrow Showers
17°12°10.4 mm⌄
Wind15 mph W
Gusts25 mph
UV index3 – Low
Chance of rain85%
Sunrise06:42
Sunset19:25
Wednesday 16/9 Showers
16°12°2.5 mm⌄
Wind13 mph W
Gusts25 mph
UV index3 – Low
Chance of rain73%
Sunrise06:44
Sunset19:23
Thursday 17/9 Showers
15°11°3.5 mm⌄
Wind15 mph W
Gusts25 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain76%
Sunrise06:46
Sunset19:20
Friday 18/9 Showers
17°11°1.0 mm⌄
Wind11 mph W
Gusts23 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain59%
Sunrise06:48
Sunset19:18
Saturday 19/9 Showers
18°13°0.4 mm⌄
Wind14 mph W
Gusts26 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain42%
Sunrise06:49
Sunset19:15
Sunday 20/9 Cloudy
15°12°18%⌄
Wind9 mph W
Gusts18 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain18%
Sunrise06:51
Sunset19:13
Monday 21/9 Showers
21°12°0.5 mm⌄
Wind13 mph W
Gusts27 mph
UV index6 – High
Chance of rain43%
Sunrise06:53
Sunset19:10
Tuesday 22/9 Cloudy
17°12°0.3 mm⌄
Wind13 mph NW
Gusts26 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain36%
Sunrise06:55
Sunset19:08
Wednesday 23/9 Cloudy
17°11°12%⌄
Wind9 mph NW
Gusts10 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain12%
Sunrise06:56
Sunset19:05
Thursday 24/9 Cloudy
18°10°9%⌄
Wind4 mph NE
Gusts12 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain9%
Sunrise06:58
Sunset19:03
Friday 25/9 Sunny
19°11°4%⌄
Wind5 mph S
Gusts9 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain4%
Sunrise07:00
Sunset19:00
Saturday 26/9 Sunny
19°10°3%⌄
Wind10 mph S
Gusts17 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain3%
Sunrise07:02
Sunset18:58
Sunday 27/9 Sunny
21°11°2%⌄
Wind9 mph S
Gusts15 mph
UV index6 – High
Chance of rain2%
Sunrise07:03
Sunset18:56
Monday 28/9 Rain (climate average)
22°13°2.9 mm⌄
Day≈19–25°
Night≈10–16°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Tuesday 29/9 Sunny intervals (climate average)
24°14°20%⌄
Day≈21–27°
Night≈11–17°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Wednesday 30/9 Sunny intervals (climate average)
26°16°20%⌄
Day≈23–29°
Night≈13–19°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Thursday 1/10 Rain (climate average)
19°11°4.0 mm⌄
Day≈16–22°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Friday 2/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
16°9°20%⌄
Day≈13–19°
Night≈6–12°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Saturday 3/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
15°9°20%⌄
Day≈12–18°
Night≈6–12°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Sunday 4/10 Rain (climate average)
16°9°3.8 mm⌄
Day≈13–19°
Night≈6–12°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Monday 5/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
16°9°20%⌄
Day≈13–19°
Night≈6–12°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Tuesday 6/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
20°12°20%⌄
Day≈17–23°
Night≈9–15°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Wednesday 7/10 Rain (climate average)
20°12°6.2 mm⌄
Day≈17–23°
Night≈9–15°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Thursday 8/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
19°11°20%⌄
Day≈16–22°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Friday 9/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
15°9°20%⌄
Day≈12–18°
Night≈6–12°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Saturday 10/10 Rain (climate average)
14°8°2.7 mm⌄
Day≈11–17°
Night≈5–11°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Sunday 11/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
14°8°20%⌄
Day≈11–17°
Night≈5–11°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Monday 12/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
18°10°20%⌄
Day≈15–21°
Night≈7–13°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Tuesday 13/10 Rain (climate average)
20°11°4.7 mm⌄
Day≈17–23°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
How does the long-range forecast work?
Days 1-14 are a real forecast from weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on 1991-2020 climate averages — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.
Days 1-14: Fetched live from weather models (UKV, ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability ~85% for days 1-3, ~60% for days 7-10, ~45% for days 11-14.
Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (a chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the month’s average max/min from 1991-2020 climate data (London baseline with latitude correction for Manchester), with mild weekly variation.
Use: "Roughly how warm is it usually in London in the last week of July?" — a good question for days 15-30. "Will it rain on 27 May?" — no serious forecast can say.
Forecasts from the UK Met Office UKV model, global weather models and official UK environmental data · Met Office UKV model · Environment Agency · Copernicus CAMS · NOAA