Weather Radar UKLong-range forecastBath

30-day forecast · Bath

Days 1-14 are a real forecast from weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on 1991-2020 climate averages — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.

30 days — Bath

14 real + 16 synthesised
Thu · Today Sunny
25° 14° 11%
Fri · Tomorrow Sunny
23° 2%
Saturday 1/8 Sunny
24° 3%
Sunday 2/8 Sunny intervals
27° 12° 3%
Monday 3/8 Sunny
30° 12° 3%
Tuesday 4/8 Sunny intervals
24° 15° 10%
Wednesday 5/8 Cloudy
21° 14° 9.8 mm
Thursday 6/8 Showers
18° 13° 2.4 mm
Friday 7/8 Sunny intervals
19° 12° 24%
Saturday 8/8 Showers
19° 13° 0.9 mm
Sunday 9/8 Showers
20° 12° 2.1 mm
Monday 10/8 Sunny intervals
23° 12° 0.9 mm
Tuesday 11/8 Sunny
26° 10° 3%
Wednesday 12/8 Sunny
27° 14° 3%
Thursday 13/8 Rain (climate average)
31° 20° 3.7 mm
Friday 14/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
31° 21° 20%
Saturday 15/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
31° 21° 20%
Sunday 16/8 Rain (climate average)
32° 21° 3.7 mm
Monday 17/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
28° 19° 20%
Tuesday 18/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
28° 19° 20%
Wednesday 19/8 Rain (climate average)
28° 19° 4.6 mm
Thursday 20/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
31° 21° 20%
Friday 21/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
32° 21° 20%
Saturday 22/8 Rain (climate average)
32° 21° 7.5 mm
Sunday 23/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
31° 21° 20%
Monday 24/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
29° 19° 20%
Tuesday 25/8 Rain (climate average)
27° 18° 6.2 mm
Wednesday 26/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
28° 19° 20%
Thursday 27/8 Sunny intervals (climate average)
29° 20° 20%
Friday 28/8 Rain (climate average)
31° 21° 7.7 mm

How does the long-range forecast work?

Days 1-14: Fetched live from weather models (UKV, ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability ~85% for days 1-3, ~60% for days 7-10, ~45% for days 11-14.

Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (a chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the month’s average max/min from 1991-2020 climate data (London baseline with latitude correction for Bath), with mild weekly variation.

Use: "Roughly how warm is it usually in London in the last week of July?" — a good question for days 15-30. "Will it rain on 27 May?" — no serious forecast can say.

Forecasts from the UK Met Office UKV model, global weather models and official UK environmental data · Met Office UKV model · Environment Agency · Copernicus CAMS · NOAA
Updated: 14:49