Luton · days 1-14 from weather models · days 15-30 typical range (1991-2020)
🗺️ 14-day forecast map
Luton & nearby cities — press play
Real forecast data for every city shown, from the same weather models as the city pages, updated several times a day. Icons show each day’s overall weather; the figure is the daytime maximum.
Next 14 days at a glance
From the model forecast
Warmest day
26°
Mon 21 Sep
Coldest night
10°
Wed 16 Sep
Days with rain
7 / 14
of 14 forecast days
Best day out
Sat 19 Sep
mild, dry & light wind
The next 4 weekends
For planning ahead
Sat 12 – Sun 13 Sep
22° 12°
68% rain risk
Sat 19 – Sun 20 Sep
24° 13°
6% rain risk
Sat 26 – Sun 27 Sep
25° 15°
typical range
Sat 3 – Sun 4 Oct
20° 12°
typical range
30 days — Luton
14 real + 16 synthesised
Sat · Today Cloudy
22°12°1.8 mm⌄
Wind20 mph SW
Gusts31 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain63%
Sunrise06:31
Sunset19:24
Sun · Tomorrow Showers
21°17°1.6 mm⌄
Wind14 mph SW
Gusts28 mph
UV index3 – Moderate
Chance of rain68%
Sunrise06:33
Sunset19:21
Monday 14/9 Sunny intervals
24°15°0.2 mm⌄
Wind15 mph SW
Gusts22 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain34%
Sunrise06:35
Sunset19:19
Tuesday 15/9 Sunny
21°13°0.2 mm⌄
Wind17 mph W
Gusts29 mph
UV index6 – High
Chance of rain18%
Sunrise06:36
Sunset19:17
Wednesday 16/9 Showers
17°10°0.6 mm⌄
Wind16 mph NW
Gusts25 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain41%
Sunrise06:38
Sunset19:14
Thursday 17/9 Cloudy
16°10°1.7 mm⌄
Wind15 mph NW
Gusts28 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain60%
Sunrise06:39
Sunset19:12
Friday 18/9 Sunny
20°10°4%⌄
Wind10 mph SW
Gusts23 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain4%
Sunrise06:41
Sunset19:10
Saturday 19/9 Sunny
22°13°6%⌄
Wind8 mph SE
Gusts16 mph
UV index6 – High
Chance of rain6%
Sunrise06:43
Sunset19:07
Sunday 20/9 Sunny
24°14°3%⌄
Wind12 mph SE
Gusts24 mph
UV index6 – High
Chance of rain3%
Sunrise06:44
Sunset19:05
Monday 21/9 Sunny
26°17°5%⌄
Wind13 mph S
Gusts26 mph
UV index7 – High
Chance of rain5%
Sunrise06:46
Sunset19:03
Tuesday 22/9 Showers
20°12°2.7 mm⌄
Wind15 mph SE
Gusts41 mph
UV index4 – Moderate
Chance of rain71%
Sunrise06:48
Sunset19:00
Wednesday 23/9 Sunny
19°11°1.8 mm⌄
Wind21 mph S
Gusts38 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain57%
Sunrise06:49
Sunset18:58
Thursday 24/9 Showers
19°13°4.6 mm⌄
Wind21 mph SW
Gusts36 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain75%
Sunrise06:51
Sunset18:56
Friday 25/9 Sunny
17°10°2.2 mm⌄
Wind15 mph S
Gusts30 mph
UV index5 – Moderate
Chance of rain57%
Sunrise06:52
Sunset18:53
Saturday 26/9 Rain (climate average)
24°15°5.7 mm⌄
Day≈21–27°
Night≈12–18°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Sunday 27/9 Sunny intervals (climate average)
25°16°20%⌄
Day≈22–28°
Night≈13–19°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Monday 28/9 Sunny intervals (climate average)
27°17°20%⌄
Day≈24–30°
Night≈14–20°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Tuesday 29/9 Rain (climate average)
26°17°2.8 mm⌄
Day≈23–29°
Night≈14–20°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Wednesday 30/9 Sunny intervals (climate average)
24°15°20%⌄
Day≈21–27°
Night≈12–18°
Rain≈55 mm / September
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Thursday 1/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
17°11°20%⌄
Day≈14–20°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Friday 2/10 Rain (climate average)
16°10°5.8 mm⌄
Day≈13–19°
Night≈7–13°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Saturday 3/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
19°12°20%⌄
Day≈16–22°
Night≈9–15°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Sunday 4/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
20°12°20%⌄
Day≈17–23°
Night≈9–15°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Monday 5/10 Rain (climate average)
22°13°2.7 mm⌄
Day≈19–25°
Night≈10–16°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Tuesday 6/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
20°12°20%⌄
Day≈17–23°
Night≈9–15°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Wednesday 7/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
16°10°20%⌄
Day≈13–19°
Night≈7–13°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Thursday 8/10 Rain (climate average)
15°9°4.7 mm⌄
Day≈12–18°
Night≈6–12°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Friday 9/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
17°11°20%⌄
Day≈14–20°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Saturday 10/10 Sunny intervals (climate average)
18°11°20%⌄
Day≈15–21°
Night≈8–14°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
Sunday 11/10 Rain (climate average)
22°13°6.7 mm⌄
Day≈19–25°
Night≈10–16°
Rain≈50 mm / October
(climate average)Typical range for these dates · 1991–2020
How does the long-range forecast work?
Days 1-14 are a real forecast from weather models. Days 15-30 are season-typical values based on 1991-2020 climate averages — good for planning, NOT an exact forecast that far ahead.
Days 1-14: Fetched live from weather models (UKV, ECMWF, GFS) with statistical correction. Reliability ~85% for days 1-3, ~60% for days 7-10, ~45% for days 11-14.
Days 15-30: A real forecast does not exist that far ahead (a chaotic system). Instead we show season-typical values: the month’s average max/min from 1991-2020 climate data (London baseline with latitude correction for Luton), with mild weekly variation.
Use: "Roughly how warm is it usually in London in the last week of July?" — a good question for days 15-30. "Will it rain on 27 May?" — no serious forecast can say.
Forecasts from the UK Met Office UKV model, global weather models and official UK environmental data · Met Office UKV model · Environment Agency · Copernicus CAMS · NOAA